Karzai is either going to change his tune, or else find himself the victim of an "accident": a military coup is not out of the question. If I were the CIA station chief, I’d release those photos of Karzai toking on a hashish pipe. And if I were Karzai, I’d send my resume to Gucci, and get out of town fast. Because "the chicest man on the planet" wouldn’t do well at Bagram.
The writer misses one critical point in this article.
There were two outcomes to have come out of the invasion and occupation of Afghanistan.
The first was control over the drug trade, which the Taliban had nearly obliterated.. That mission has been accomplished to the point where the Russian government is stating that there is an "undeclared war" against it because of all the cheap, illegal heroin which is flooding their country from Afghanistan (when you control the drug traffic, you control where it winds up)
The second goal, which is proving to be painfully illusive 9 years on in this war, is the "pacification" of Afghanistan to the point where pipelines can be installed with which to control Eurasian oil.
This is the reason that the US and NATO leadership have their collective knickers in a twist; if Karzai survives this attempt at reconciliation, he may well demand that US and NATO leave far earlier that they want to, without those pipelines being built.
Should that scenario unfold, it puts the US precisely back in the position it was in 9 years ago, when as late as August of 2001, the US was negotiating with the Taliban for the rights to the pipeline routes, but thought that the price the Taliban was demanding was "too high."