THE TURKISH INTERVENTION IN LIBYA MIGHT LEAD TO A WAR WITH EGYPT | WHAT REALLY HAPPENED

THE TURKISH INTERVENTION IN LIBYA MIGHT LEAD TO A WAR WITH EGYPT

A week ago Erdogan said that he was ready to deploy troops to Libya on short notice. Today rumors appeared in Arab media, still unconfirmed, that Turkish special operations forces landed in Tripoli.

The Libyan war between two Libyan parties will now become a very different beast. Egypt will not tolerate a Muslim Brotherhood led Libya as its neighbor. Before the Turkish support allows the GNA government to defeat Haftar Egypt will intervene. The situation can thereby soon develop into an intense war during which Turkish troops fight on Libyan grounds against the Egyptian military.

Both countries have rich Arab sponsors who can finance a long and intense conflict. Both have lots of material and many many soldiers who they can throw into the fight. The Egyptian side has one advantage. Its long land border allows for easy resupply while Turkey will have to rely on supplies that come by sea and air and can be cut off or at least interrupted.

Webmaster's Commentary: 

With NATO still fuming over Erdogan's recent behaviour,coupled with his threat to close down the NATO base at Incirlik, Edrogan is playing with fire in this situation, because no matter how he tries to paint such an intervention, I would rather suspect that the rest of NATO will simply attempt to ignore it with dignity, for as long as it reasonably can.

But the real question is, who and what will support Egypt against Erdogan, and who will support Erdogan militarily, should such a conflict start?!?

There is a sister companion story, out of zerohedge.com, with the following, very unsettling headline: Turkey To Establish Military Base In Libya As Egypt Threatens Its Own Intervention

The article goes on to state: "Turkey's involvement in the ongoing Libyan war between Benghazi-based General Khalifa Haftar and the UN-recognized Tripoli GNA government is set to grow.

Following a recent military agreement between Turkey and Tripoli, and as Haftar's forces threaten attack on any Turkish plane or ship, it's expected the Turkish military will set up a base in the war-torn country. Middle East Monitor reports of the latest developments:

Turkey is set to establish a military base in Libya, according to Turkish media reports earlier this week, as President Recep Tayyip weighs up the possibility of intervention in the country’s civil war.

Yeni Shafak reported on Monday that the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Turkish parliament had approved a recent agreement between Turkey and Libya on military cooperation. It also includes provisions for launching a “quick reaction force” if requested by the Libyan government."

Turkey just "kicked it up a notch" with this agreement with Libya to provide Turkish troops, if asked, against General Haftar's potential advance against Tripoli; look for this to get very ugly, very quickly; Russia is supporting Haftar, both openly, and covertly.

If a shooting war continues, look for Russia's support of Haftar to be the key for deal-making, to bring Hafter; Turkey; and Tripoli into an accord which will start with an immediate cease-fire.

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