And Now The Hangover: Goldman Sees Sharp Deceleration In US Economic Growth In 2022 | WHAT REALLY HAPPENED

And Now The Hangover: Goldman Sees Sharp Deceleration In US Economic Growth In 2022

t was good while it lasted, but the party is finally ending.

One day after we reported that unemployed households which no longer receive emergency benefits are suddenly spending far less, and on the same day we read about an "unprecedented spike" in evictions as foreclosure moratoriums end, the only thing missing was a sellside downgrade to the US economy. Well, we got just that early this morning, when Goldman - which last year was the first bank to unveil materially above consensus GDP projections - cut its 2021 second half consumption growth forecast, resulting in 1% downgrade to its GDP growth forecasts for Q3 and Q4 to +8.5% and +5.0%, respectively, "as it is becoming apparent that the service sector recovery in the US is unlikely to be as robust as the bank had expected. Which is odd considering the trillions in monetary and fiscal stimulus that have entered into the economy. One wonder how many more trillions would be needed for Goldman to be happy.

But while Goldman's expected 2021 slowdown is manageable, it gets far worse in 2022, when the sluggishness is expected to truly hammer the growth rate, which Goldman now expected to shrink to a trend-like 1.5% - 2% by the second half of 2022, a far "sharper deceleration than consensus expects."

Tags:

Comments

SHARE THIS ARTICLE WITH YOUR SOCIAL MEDIA